2024 Election: Ludacris and Our 312-226 and 51%-48% Trump Prediction
Last week, we made a bold prediction: a 312-226 Trump victory in the 2024 election. Today, as all major media outlets confirm the results, we can proudly say we were right—across all 50 states and the final margin. In fact, we were so confident in our forecast that when challenged we doubled down on it in Facebook, Blogs and Newsletters.
Yet, for many, particularly the Never Trumpers, this outcome was so hard to comprehend that, in the week leading up to Trump’s landslide victory, they just couldn’t process what was coming. To help illustrate how the campaign played out—and to take a little credit for our spot-on prediction—we turned to a classic Ludacris video: “Get Back.”
The Characters: Who’s Who in the Election Story
In the video for “Get Back,” the characters provide a perfect metaphor for how the election unfolded.
- The Want-to-be Manager (played by the Manager in the video), who still lives with his mother, represents the Never Trumpers. He’s full of confidence, sure that he’s got all the answers, but in reality, he’s living in a fantasy world. This also parallels the overhyped and inferior ground game that Kamala Harris was promised.
- Ludacris himself represents Trump and, more broadly, center-right voters.
- The Man Reading the Newspaper (Newspaper Man) represents me. I was watching the numbers, seeing the trends, and I knew we were on track for a 312-226 Trump landslide and 51%-48% win.
If you haven’t seen the video, click on it here, then skip ahead to the 1:15 mark for the key moments.
The Never Trumpers and the Fantasy World
At the start of the video, the Manager delivers a long-winded, nonsensical diatribe. He slaps Ludacris on the back, convinced that, from his mother’s basement, he has the best plan for success. This mirrors the last couple of years of Never Trump rhetoric. Every new “closing argument” claimed that Trump was unfit for office, that a prosecutor would finally find a way to imprison him, or that his supporters were beyond redemption.
Consider the case of the New York prosecutor—changing the statute of limitations just to go after one person: Trump. This was the ultimate display of desperation, as if rewriting laws to indict one specific individual could somehow “save democracy.” The Manager’s speech can also stand for the endless self-righteous belittling of anyone who dared to support Trump. Between Hillary Clinton’s “deplorables” and the “garbage” comment during Kamala Harris’s unity speech (though made by Biden, not her), Never Trumpers were constantly telling voters they should be ashamed of their choices.
Ludacris, as the calm and collected character, tries to avoid confrontation, saying, “You know, I don’t think this is the time or place,” but the Never Trumpers couldn’t help themselves. For them, every venue—whether entertainment, sports, or even politics—became a stage for their endless moralizing about how voters should be ashamed to support Trump.
Finally, the Manager slaps Ludacris on the back, and Ludacris has had enough. He explodes, ready to fight back. And that’s when the analogy shifts. All center-right voters, whether Trump was their hero or 100th choice as the GOP nominee, decide that if Never Trumpers plan to win an election by throwing their political opponent in prison, it is all hands on deck to work day and night to defend him and truly save Democracy..
The Ground Game: Center-Right Muscle vs. the Left’s Corporate Style
The ensuing fight between Ludacris and the Manager shifts the focus to the campaign’s ground game. Ludacris represents the center-right’s high quality effort by people truly trying to save the country to register and turn out voters, aided by organizations like the Faith and Freedom Coalition. This effort registered millions of new voters and erased the early voting advantage the left had built up in previous years.
On the other hand, the Never Trumpers were stuck with a “ground game” that more resembled a corporate-style operation dominated by liberal do-gooders not focused on accountability and the mission of activating voters. They charged millions to register canvassers online with whom they would rarely ever meet. I encountered liberal canvassers boasting about how much they were paid just to walk around, holding their phones and checking off names on a list.
Meanwhile, our planning sessions were deeply strategic: we worked with local churches, organized neighborhood walks, and engaged with real voters face-to-face. Evangelical pastors would often give a sermon on the issues before passing out our literature. The level of detail and connection to the community made our ground game vastly superior to the hollow corporate-style efforts funded by billion-dollar donors.
The Final Straw: The Trump Supporters’ Frustration
Like most center-right voters, I was getting increasingly frustrated by the constant claim that “Kamala has a much better ground game than Trump.” And then biting my tongue to avoid singing what Ludacris does in the video, “Yeek yeek! (woop, woop) Why you all in my ear? Talking a whole bunch of stuff that I ain’t trying to hear! Get back! Get back!”
It was the final straw. The more Never Trumpers insisted that Trump had no chance, the more our ground game outperformed theirs, and the clearer it became that the election would be decided by voters—not by the endless legal battles and media-manufactured hysteria.
The Election Outcome: A Billion-Dollar Blunder
By the time the election rolled around, the Never Trump movement had poured billions of dollars into trying to stop Trump, but their strategy was never going to work. They bet everything on defeating Trump through legal battles, trying to imprison him before the election even happened. Yet, even with another billion dollars spent in the final week, it couldn’t stop the inevitable: we predicted and then Trump delivered a 312-226 victory.
Our internal calculations, which we shared on as polls opened on election day, showed Trump on track for a 51-48 popular vote win. By Wednesday evening, Trump was leading 50.9% to 47.6%, further confirming our predictions.
Conclusion: Never Trump – Worst ROI in History
The result? A total collapse of the Never Trump strategy, one of the worst Return on Investment disasters in political history. After a billion dollars spent, the Never Trumpers were left with nothing—except the harsh realization that Americans didn’t want their election to be decided by prosecuting the opposing candidate. Instead, the people voted for Trump’s message Instead, the people voted for Trump’s message of fixing the endless problems created during the last few years, from food and gas prices to men in women’s sports and sex change operations on children.
