
Election Summary - WI Supreme Court
John Pudner issued the election summary below before going on the air this morning with Fox News Radio Stations, including WFRK Florence, SC, WOYK York, PA, WKIM Memphis, TN, WERC Birmingham, AL, WHO Des Moines, IA, KURV McAllen TX and WJR Detroit, MI to discuss election results. We will post these interviews over the next couple of weeks.
On the air this Wednesday morning, Pudner discussed how Democrats improved in 3 of 4 races, but that only flipped one race – a Pennsylvania legislative race that went from a 15-pt GOP edge to 1-point Democrat win.
Republicans retained both Congressional races to replace Matt Gaetz and Mike Waltz, who left for Trump appointments – but the margins were almost the same in both, going from a 66-34 win to 57-43 – an improvement for Democrats, but not nearly. enough to win.
Wisconsin was the only race that hardly changed, with the last Supreme Court race won by the liberal by 11 and last night by 10. Voter ID did pass in Wisconsin.
Fox News Interviews after GOP Strong in FL,
But Content PA, WI Conservatives Stay Home
Fox News radio invited me on starting at 6 AM (in 8 hours) to discuss election results in Florida, where another “blue mirage” took place with Democrats traveling to Florida with reports they were ahead in FL-6 – but in the end Republican Randy Fine so far has almost matched the close to 60 percent received there by President Trump.
DNC Chair Ken Martin visited Florida to make his case that Democrats can appeal to Florida and Southerners due to a stark reality – the 2030 redistricting looks set to add at least four Congressional seats and Electoral votes to both Texas and Florida, with much of the rest of the grown in Southern states where DNC coalition groups like the billion dollar sex change industry continue to be a huge liability.
Democrats’ hopes were raised due to two other races going well, as they won a Pennsylvania Special election where Trump had won by 15 points, and Tuesday night, approximately repeated the double-digit win in the Wisconsin Supreme Court from the last election two years ago.
As noted in our previous blog and email newsletter, there was one key conservative victory in Wisconsin: the passage of a measure to add Voter ID to the state constitution. If this measure is approved again in a second required ballot, it would prevent the Governor or the newly elected Supreme Court justice—who previously worked professionally to remove Voter ID requirements—from eliminating the law.
In our last blog, we outlined various reasons why a conservative win in Wisconsin was unlikely. It had been an uphill battle just to convince voters with Trump and conservative signs in their yards to cast a ballot on April 1. This trend persisted through election day, as illustrated by a conversation with a voter with a conservative canvasser hours before the vote.
“No, I don’t think I’m going to go (vote). I don’t know where they moved my polling place,” said the voter, despite displaying signs for Trump and three ballot items: (1) the conservative Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate, (2) a mayoral candidate, and (3) the Voter ID measure.
Our canvasser immediately looked up the voter’s polling location using MyVote to ensure he had the information he needed. However, his comment reflected a broader issue that arose during the turnout effort—one that had not been present in November, when conservatives were highly motivated to vote in response to liberal legal efforts to defeat Trump through imprisonment, bankruptcy, or removal from the ballot.
For those of us who began our political careers in Virginia, this was a familiar pattern. By the time of my 2014 victory over Eric Cantor, the party that had lost the presidency had won the following odd-year governor’s race in Virginia eight out of nine times. Typically, the victorious side becomes complacent, while the losing side innovates and learns from its mistakes.
When I confidently predicted Trump’s victory last year, our strategy was focused on the fundamentals—getting literature to targeted doors and churches. However, when we saw that this approach alone was not enough, we introduced key innovations that will strengthen conservative turnout efforts for years to come.
- We added radio ads to Gospel stations, a tactic previously used to pull off upsets in Deep South Alabama majority-minority districts and even to elect a conservative mayor in 57% minority Shreveport, Louisiana.
- We mobilized so many volunteers for manual voter outreach that they ended up texting 36,000 voters after calling them individually from their personal phones.
- We leveraged Facebook in a way we hadn’t before, posting a short turnout video that amassed 64,000 views—shattering my personal record of 42,000 likes for my Breitbart piece 13 years ago, titled, Obama Booed at Elite 8 Game Rd… After Golf Outing (https://www.breitbart.com/sports/2013/03/30/response-to-obama-mixed-at-d-c-elite-8-contest/).
These innovations will serve as a foundation for increasing conservative turnout in future elections, even without accounting for such a depressed conservative turnout, entailing canvassers needing to talk to even diehard conservatives to vote.
Above, I mentioned my actual text response to those who reached out on election day, noting that I had not predicted a win this time as I had before Trump’s election. My message read:
“Well, I nailed all the States for Trump, but hoping I can say I’m wrong on this one …”
“Atlas, which just released a poll showing Crawford up by 7 points, is the most accurate pollster of the 500 on my spreadsheet (below). They were spot-on in every state with Trump. Hopefully, I’m off by 5 and they’re off by 8, and Brad wins—but that would be a happy shock for me. Trafalgar is the most accurate when Trump is on the ballot, but when he’s not, they tend to overestimate Republican performance by 1.83 points. So, their prediction of the conservative Wisconsin Supreme Court candidate losing by 2 points would actually translate to an average 4-point loss.”
Even if turnout was absolutely even between conservatives and liberals, this was a 4- to 7-point liberal win – with conservatives content and liberals acting like the side that just lost a big race was enthusiastic, the margin will end up close to the same race two years ago.
See the referenced spreadsheet below, which details adjustments made to poll results based on each pollster’s bias:
Pollster Accuracy Spreadsheet
The left understands that even a massive turnout effort that only starts a couple of months before an election may not be enough if we are still convincing conservatives to vote. The left knows the next election starts TODAY – consider the quote from one of the most effective liberal activist leaders in Wisconsin:
“We need people to understand that it’s more than just a vote. The day after the election – that’s when the real work starts.”
Reverend Greg Lewis, Souls to the Polls
Conservatives need to take that page out of the liberals’ playbook and start organizing today for 2026.
Below is the post that garnered 64,000 Facebook views.
